Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 882.433759 1000.317145 1132.532643 1292.662857 1482.487075 1701.736901 1976.176108
2025-04-13 679.275721 825.286768 1004.372608 1243.392052 1558.983118 1968.601245 2552.666227
2025-04-20 605.603169 769.570757 982.885585 1287.067082 1720.469017 2333.374165 3299.597290
2025-04-27 544.011398 715.751943 949.733680 1301.590775 1835.412802 2647.469225 4046.438458
2025-05-04 496.879649 672.940797 922.306024 1314.791081 1944.006749 2966.287407 4879.517138
2025-05-11 457.715739 635.463321 895.807305 1322.333442 2040.794618 3280.858535 5791.512615
2025-05-18 434.640809 618.104312 895.774603 1369.158333 2207.475293 3747.995239 7140.697253
2025-05-25 411.717656 598.015151 888.287723 1401.204712 2352.175586 4205.542074 8633.998895
2025-06-01 387.452027 573.110632 869.768836 1410.735021 2455.681705 4604.495101 10148.674026
2025-06-08 364.371148 547.760233 847.466058 1409.777496 2537.620292 4976.463451 11752.686780
2025-06-15 349.270050 533.915977 842.827127 1440.040029 2687.016526 5535.247103 14135.457118
2025-06-22 323.754720 500.534091 801.023420 1394.011524 2667.216151 5690.124117 15386.762483
2025-06-29 300.284538 469.491113 761.708029 1350.416022 2650.833088 5864.219306 16852.595519
2025-07-06 277.916477 438.855589 720.737484 1299.225180 2610.284990 5970.889841 18174.236055
2025-07-13 270.865623 434.340439 726.998196 1345.275311 2804.797702 6774.329586 22707.966050
2025-07-20 260.454828 422.979115 719.271682 1360.653428 2928.175075 7416.812408 27138.210514
2025-07-27 250.738686 412.109465 711.417226 1374.613190 3050.952814 8102.171678 32448.785323
2025-08-03 241.130549 400.719650 701.487007 1382.592322 3159.899417 8784.924006 38523.752073
2025-08-10 236.570211 398.380917 709.255723 1432.141435 3393.947442 9998.610978 49415.164687
2025-08-17 230.657883 393.018565 710.348573 1466.067016 3591.859757 11174.153849 62122.708785
2025-08-24 222.892279 383.538934 702.075652 1476.158454 3721.625526 12146.133842 75234.095810
2025-08-31 214.679893 372.652373 689.942227 1475.144504 3817.492611 13026.883570 89592.052543
2025-09-07 209.780698 367.989128 690.714707 1507.195348 4028.005833 14538.049586 114751.841514